Could Alabama beat the Bills? Vegas sportsbook makes Buffalo massive favorite in hypothetical matchup

Could Alabama beat the Bills? Vegas sportsbook makes Buffalo massive favorite in hypothetical matchup
Bills 28.5-point favorite in hypothetical Alabama game
Each and every year, one or two NFL teams are bad enough that someone decides to ask the question “Could Alabama beat [crappy NFL team]?” Its always Alabama because Nick Saban is a cyborg sent from the future to destroy parity in college football (and succeeding). 

This year the team to get the “Can Bama beat them?” treatment is the Buffalo Bills, and this year, with gambling as widespread as its been in years, were getting actual odds on the game.

It all began with SiriusXM Radios Chris Childers and Aaron Murray saying theyd pick Alabama to beat the Bills straight up this season. Dan Patrick didnt exactly discuss a matchup between the two teams, but the radio host said Buffalo should be relegated to the SEC with the Crimson Tide taking their place in the AFC East.

They will shock you. No, really, they will, and you definitely will want to take Alabama, because the Tide would be catching almost 30 points from the Buffalo Bills, according to Jeff Sherman of SuperBook USA, who tweeted on Thursday the Bills would be 28.5-point favorites over the Crimson Tide.

Now, a betting line has been set for the hypothetical matchup. Take a look at what Jeff Sherman, Sportsbook USAs VP of Risk Management, said the line would be as well as some of the top comments on the matchup.

Let Alabama Play a Bad NFL Team So Everyone Can Shut Up

let the fun begin! … regarding a hypothetical Alabama vs Bills line on a neutral … @SuperBookUSA wed go with:AlabamaBills -28.5

This is pretty remarkable when you think about it. Alabama is producing maybe the greatest team Nick Saban has ever had in Tuscaloosa, a run that is jam-packed with incredible teams. Sabans boys have been steamrolling over opponents for years. Even if this isnt his best team ever, its definitely his best offense since he arrived back in the SEC.

let the fun begin! … regarding a hypothetical Alabama vs Bills line on a neutral … @SuperBookUSA wed go with:AlabamaBills -28.5

Meanwhile, the Bills are producing one of the worst offenses in NFL history, far and away the worst offense in the NFL this year, especially when Nathan Peterman steps under center.

But it speaks to the vast gulf in the game. There might be 15 first-round picks on the Bama roster … eventually, but not all of them are first-round picks today. All the Bills players arent first-round picks either, but they are all NFL players. 

Now, you’re probably thinking that there’s no way this would ever happen. And you’re right. It won’t. There’s no incentives for either side. You might be surprised to learn that NFL champions played an All-Star team of college seniors from 1934-1976 in the Chicago Charities College All-Star Game. The NFL won 31, lost nine, and two ended in a tie. The average margin of victory was 17 in favor of the NFL over the final decade of the game being played.

As Aaron Kessler of the Golden Nugget pointed out, the Bills might struggle to score 29 points against an NFL defense, but LeSean McCoy is naming his price in terms of rushing yards and the Bills might be naming their price in terms of the score. 

Let’s set a baseline for sanity here. A college football team could not beat an NFL team. Even the very best, like Alabama, would be outclassed by the very worst, like the Buffalo Bills. The hypothetical scenario gets new breath far too often and nothing is accomplished. But what if there was a resolution? What if we could — and here me out on this — see it with our own eyes so everyone could shut up?

Lets not forget, too, that while this might be the best overall team Sabans ever had, there is an argument its not even the best team in college football. Oh yeah, I went there. 

For instance, Clemson’s national title season a few years ago featured a loss to Pitt, who started Nathan Peterman at quarterback. That’s a thing that happened. Yet the conversation persists, perhaps because people know they can never be proven wrong.

Clemson is actually ranked higher defensively according to S&P metrics (second to Alabamas 11th) and not that far behind on offense (seventh to Alabamas second, with the Tide behind only Oklahoma). 

As of now, a hypothetical line would be Buffalo -17. That is not exactly an embarrassing blowout. That said, it would be incredibly risky to put one’s money on Alabama in that situation, knowing full well that 55-0 could be on the table.

The Bills, by the way, are a top-10 team defensively. Tua Tagovailoa has been carving up the likes of Ole Miss  and even LSU, but the Bills would be a next-level challenge and would likely shut down the Tides offense. Once they got a lead, Tua would be forced into playing one-dimensional football and Bama would be in big trouble. 

Thirty points is a lot to cover and maybe the Bills would “only” win 28-0 (sort of like Bama against LSU last weekend) but it would most certainly be a decisive victory for the professionals. Anyone betting on the Tide might as well scribble sucker on their forehead.

I say this as someone not particularly enamored with the topic. It seems obvious that it wouldn’t be a competitive game. It seems obvious there’s plenty of evidence and critical thinking to draw on to reach this conclusion.

Will Brinson joined CBS Sports in 2010 and enters his seventh season covering the NFL for CBS. He previously wrote for FanHouse along with myriad other Internet sites. A North Carolina native who lives… Full Bio

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